Q3

Almanac Update October 2021: Resist “Octoberphobia”

October often evokes fear on Wall Street as memories are stirred of crashes in 1929, 1987, the 554-point drop on October 27, 1997, back-to-back massacres in 1978 and 1979, Friday the 13th in 1989 and the 733-point drop on October 15, 2008. During the week ending October 10, 2008, Dow lost 1,874.19 points (18.2%), the worst weekly decline in our database going back to 1901, in percentage terms. March 2020 now holds the dubious honor of producing the worst and ...

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30
SEP
2021

0

Almanac Update

Best Six Months, DJIA, First Day, Labor Day, NASDAQ, Octoberphobia, post-election year, Q3, S&P 500, Vital Stats, Worst Four Months, Worst Months, Worst Six Months

Almanac Update September 2021: Worst Month of Year Over Last 71 Years

Start of the business year, end of summer vacations, and back to school once made September a leading barometer month in the first 60 years of 20th century, now portfolio managers back after Labor Day tend to clean house. Since 1950, September is the worst performing month of the year for DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ (since 1971), Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 (since 1979). After four solid years from 1995-1998 during the dot.com bubble buildup, S&P 500 was down five ...

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31
AUG
2021

0

Almanac Update

Best Six Months, DJIA, First Day, Labor Day, NASDAQ, post-election year, Q3, Quarterly options expiration, S&P 500, Vital Stats, Worst Four Months, Worst Months, Worst Six Months

Almanac Update August 2021: Challenging Month in Post-Election Years

Money flows from harvesting made August a great stock market month in the first half of the Twentieth Century. It was the best month from 1901 to 1951. In 1900, 37.5% of the population was farming. Now that less than 2% farm, August is amongst the worst months of the year. It is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 month over the last 33 years, 1988-2020 with average declines ranging from 0.4% by Russell 2000 to 0.8% by ...

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3
AUG
2021

0

Almanac Update

Best Eight Months, Best Six Months, DJIA, First Day, NASDAQ, post-election year, Q3, S&P 500, Vital Stats, Worst Four Months, Worst Months, Worst Six Months

Almanac Update July 2021: Best Month of Post-Election Years

July historically is the best performing month of the third quarter however, the mostly negative results in August and September tend to make the comparison easy. Two “hot” Julys in 2009 and 2010 where DJIA and S&P 500 both gained greater than 6% and strong performances in 2013 and 2018 have boosted July’s average gains since 1950 to 1.3% and 1.1% respectively. Such strength inevitability stirs talk of a “summer rally”, but beware the hype, as it has historically been ...

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29
JUN
2021

0

Almanac Update

Best Eight Months, Best Six Months, DJIA, First Day, last trading day, NASDAQ, options expiration, post-election year, Q3, S&P 500, Vital Stats, Worst Four Months, Worst Months, Worst Six Months

August 2020 Outlook: Pandemic, GDP & Election Jeopardize Rally

In mid-July the market was shrugging off pandemic setbacks, bleak economic and corporate outlooks, geopolitical tensions, civic unrest and a contentious U.S. presidential election battle with NASDAQ hitting a new all-time high and S&P 500 at a new recovery high. In fact we were looking at a classic “Hot July” pattern with DJIA up 4.6% for the month as of the close on July 22.

Gains of this magnitude for July, however, have frequently been followed by ...

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4
AUG
2020

0

Monthly Outlook

COVID-19, DJIA, election, Election year seasonal pattern, GDP, NASDAQ, pandemic, Q3, S&P 500, summer doldrums, weekly claims

Posts Tagged 'Q3'

Almanac Update October 2021: Resist “Octoberphobia”

Almanac Update September 2021: Worst Month of Year Over Last 71 Years

Almanac Update August 2021: Challenging Month in Post-Election Years

Almanac Update July 2021: Best Month of Post-Election Years

August 2020 Outlook: Pandemic, GDP & Election Jeopardize Rally