“Those who don’t know history are destined to repeat it.”

— Edmond Burke (1729-1797)

 

At Probabilities Fund Management LLC, our mission is to offer liquid alternatives that outperform the S&P 500 over the long run, while providing low correlation.

Inspired in part by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, a respected body of research that in 2017 celebrated its 50th year of publication, Probabilities Fund Management took root in 2007 based on our conviction that seasonal and political factors affect the stock market in recognizable and predictable patterns.

Working with research partners to develop a systematic trading methodology around the core investment philosophy, we brought the strategy to market in January 2008.

At Probabilities Fund Management LLC, our mission is to offer liquid alternatives that outperform the S&P 500 over the long run, while providing low correlation.

Inspired in part by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, a respected body of research that in 2017 celebrated its 50th year of publication, Probabilities Fund Management took root in 2007 based on our conviction that seasonal and political factors affect the stock market in recognizable and predictable patterns.

Working with research partners to develop a systematic trading methodology around the core investment philosophy, we brought the strategy to market in January 2008.

People

Thought leadership in the trend following space. Click here to learn more…

Philosophy

As a tactical manager, our philosophy is simple but not easy: Be out of the market during high probability of downside risk and be in the market during high probability of upside reward.

Process

We are a tactical ETF strategist. We utilize index based ETFs to obtain dynamic exposure to the US stock market. We are in, out, leveraged or short depending upon our strategic rules and event-driven signals.

Performance

Performance of our strategies is the result of our rules based investment discipline.

Patience

Patience is a virtue. Performance should be considered over a full market cycle.

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