The Probabilities Strategies are based on underlying seasonal and technical factors derived from the analysis of the historical return series of market indices.

Factors determined to have the most significance are utilized to generate buy and sell signals, which the Manager then utilizes to implement discretionary trades. Like all equity investments, the strategy will experience volatility which may be magnified during periods the Manager has implemented a leveraged position.

Probabilities flagship strategy seeks capital appreciation by systematically investing to gain long, short or leveraged exposure primarily to the S&P 500* through Index ETFs. The strategy places special emphasis on risk management in an attempt to limit loss by using disciplined, rules based methods.

The Probabilities Fund Sector Rotation Strategy  is a directional trading strategy investing in sector ETFs. The objective is to generate noncorrelated alpha relative to the S&P 500*, on a risk adjusted basis.

*The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged composite of 500 large capitalization companies. This index is widely used by professional investors as a performance benchmark for large-cap stocks. You cannot invest directly in an index and unmanaged index returns do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Investor Considerations

Cycle of Market Emotions

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Investor Considerations

The data shown is for informational purposes only and are not reflective of any investment. The data shown does not reflect or compare features of an actual investment, such as its objectives, costs and expenses, liquidity, safety, guarantees or insurance, fluctuation of principal or return, or tax features. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Indices presented are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged and shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Philosophy

We believe that we can best grow wealth by being:

Out of the market during high probability of downside risk.

In the market during high probability of upside reward.

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Process: Analysis Part I - Strategic Rules

Strategic Rules

Rules are created by historical trends and patterns based on frequency and magnitude.

Rules are fluid as they are updated annually to include previous years’ trends and patterns.

Examples: Strategic Rules


The data shown is for informational purposes only and are not reflective of any investment. As it is not possible to invest in the indices, the data shown does not reflect or compare features of an actual investment, such as its objectives, costs and expenses, liquidity, safety, guarantees or insurance, fluctuation of principal or return, or tax features. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Indices presented are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged and shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJIA) does not represent the Probabilities Fund.

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Process: Analysis Part II - Tactical Signals

Tactical Signals

Signals are technical or political event driven decisions used to increase or decrease equity exposure.

Examples: Combining Strategic Rules & Tactical Signals

The data shown is for informational purposes only and are not reflective of any investment. As it is not possible to invest in the indices, the data shown does not reflect or compare features of an actual investment, such as its objectives, costs and expenses, liquidity, safety, guarantees or insurance, fluctuation of principal or return, or tax features. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Indices presented are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged and shown for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) does not represent the Probabilities Fund.

Examples: Tactical Signals

 

The data shown is for informational purposes only and are not reflective of any investment. As it is not possible to invest in the indices, the data shown does not reflect or compare features of an actual investment, such as its objectives, costs and expenses, liquidity, safety, guarantees or insurance, fluctuation of principal or return, or tax features. Indices do not include fees or operating expenses and are not available for actual investment. Indices presented are representative of various broad base asset classes. They are unmanaged and shown for illustrative purposes only. Data from Bloomberg. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The S&P 500 Index does not represent the Probabilities Fund.

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