Posts Tagged 'technical'

June 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. June is the last month of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months.” In all years since 1950, June ranks #11 for DJIA and #9 for S&P 500, but in midterm years like this year, June is the worst month for DJIA and S&P 500 and second worst for NASDAQ. Average losses in midterm-year Junes range from 1.4% by NASDAQ to 1.8% for S&P ...

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May 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. Stock Trader’s Almanac Seasonal MACD Sell Signal for DJIA and S&P 500 triggered April 7. May is the first month of DJIA & S&P 500 “Worst Six Months,” but NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” lasts through June. Average May gains; DJIA –0.01%, S&P 500 500 0.2% (since 1950), NASDAQ 1.0% (since 1971). In past midterm years average performance has been negative. ...

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April 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. April is the #1 DJIA and S&P 500 month of the year since 1950. Third best month for NASDAQ (since 1971) and Russell 2000 (since1979). Average gain in all years ranges from 1.7% by S&P 500 to 2.0% by DJIA. DJIA has been up 16 straight Aprils, 2006 – 2021. Midterm year performance has been softer with average performance sliding ...

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March 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. March is the fifth month of the Best Six/Eight Months for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Normally a solid month, March has historically been even stronger in midterm years ranking #4 for DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950 and #3 for NASDAQ since 1971. Average gains in midterm Marchs range from 1% from DJIA to an impressive 2.7% from Russell ...

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February 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. February is part of the “Best Six Months,” but it is historically the poorest performing month of the six. February ranks #8 for DJIA, #11 S&P 500 and #10 for NASDAQ. Russell 2000 tends to outperform in February most likely due to carry over of the January Effect. Midterm Februarys have historically been better, but still only mid-pack for DJIA ...

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January 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. January is the fifth best month for DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950. #1 NASDAQ month since 1971. However, since 2000, January has been notably weaker and in Midterm years average performance for DJIA and S&P 500 turns negative. Santa Claus Rally ends on January 4, First Five Days concludes on January 7 and lastly the January Barometer at month’s ...

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December 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. December is the #3 month for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. It is also the second month of the “Best Months” and best three consecutive month span. Performance is modestly softer in post-election years. Santa Claus Rally begins on the open on December 27 and runs until the close on the second trading day in January.

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November 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. November is the first month of the “Best Six Months” for DJIA and S&P 500 and NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months.” It’s also the first month of the market’s best three consecutive month span, November to January. November is the best S&P 500, Russell 1000 and 2000 month of the year. Second best for DJIA and S&P 500. In post-election years ...

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October 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Improving. October is the last month of the “Worst Six Months” for DJIA and S&P 500 and the last month of NASDAQ’s “Worst Four Months”. In post-election years October ranks mid-pack with average performance ranging from 0.9% (DJIA) to 1.4% (NASDAQ). Keep an eye out for the Official MACD Seasonal Buy Signal. It can trigger anytime on or after October 1.

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September 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. September is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 month. Average declines range from –0.4% from Russell 2000 to –0.7% by DJIA. In post-election years since 1950, September is still ranked no higher than #9 while average performance remains negative with only a modest improvement.

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