Posts Tagged 'monetary'

October 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Improving. October is the last month of the “Worst Six Months” for DJIA and S&P 500 and the last month of NASDAQ’s “Worst Four Months”. In post-election years October ranks mid-pack with average performance ranging from 0.9% (DJIA) to 1.4% (NASDAQ). Keep an eye out for the Official MACD Seasonal Buy Signal. It can trigger anytime on or after October 1.

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September 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. September is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 month. Average declines range from –0.4% from Russell 2000 to –0.7% by DJIA. In post-election years since 1950, September is still ranked no higher than #9 while average performance remains negative with only a modest improvement.

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August 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. August is the worst DJIA and S&P 500 month during 1988-2020 and second worst for NASDAQ. In post-election years since 1950, August is still ranked no higher than #11 while average performance slips deeper into negative territory. The Summer Volume Doldrums historically span all of August as traders and investors escape the office and head out on vacations.

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July 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. July is the first month of the second half of the year and has the most bullish record in Q3. Post-election-year Julys rank #1 for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. But July is also the first month of NASDAQ’s “Worst Four Months” and early July strength has a tendency to fade around mid-month. NASDAQ’s Mid-Year Rally ends on the close ...

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June 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. June is the last month of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” and the second month of DJIA’s and S&P 500’s “Worst Six Months.” In post-election years, June is second worst for DJIA and third worst for S&P 500. NASDAQ and Russell 2000 have been stronger with average gains of 0.4% and 1.2% respectively.

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April 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. April is the last month of DJIA and S&P 500 “Best Six Months.” It is DJIA’s best month since 1950, second best S&P 500 and fourth for NASDAQ. DJIA has been up 15 Aprils in a row. Remain vigilant as our Seasonal MACD Sell for DJIA and S&P 500 can occur anytime on or after April 1.

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March 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. March is normally a decent performing market month however post-election year payments to the Piper can take a toll on March as average historical gains are trimmed noticeably. In post-election years March ranks: #8 DJIA, S&P 500, and Russell 2000; NASDAQ is 4th worst with an average loss of 0.2%.

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