Posts Tagged 'October'

November 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. November is the 1st month of the “Best Six/Eight Months,” and the 1st month of the best three consecutive months November through January. Midterm November is also the 1st month of the best six consecutive month period and the Sweet Spot of the four-year cycle. #2 DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ month of the year. NASDAQ’s best month in midterm ...

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October 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Improving. October is the last month of DJIA and S&P 500 “Worst Six Months” and NASDAQ’s “Worst Four Months.” Twelve post-WWII bear markets have ended in October and seven were in midterm years. October is the #1 DJIA and S&P 500 month in midterm years, #2 for NASDAQ. STA Seasonal MACD Buy signal can trigger any time after ...

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Almanac Update October 2022: Top Month in Midterm Years

October can evoke fear on Wall Street as memories are stirred of crashes in 1929, 1987, the 554-point DJIA drop on October 27, 1997, back-to-back massacres in 1978 and 1979, Friday the 13th in 1989 and the 733-point DJIA drop on October 15, 2008. During the week ending October 10, 2008, DJIA lost 1,874.19 points (18.2%), the worst weekly decline, in percentage terms, in our database going back to 1901. March 2020 now holds the dubious honor of producing the ...

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Almanac Update October 2019: Second Worst Month in Pre-Election Years

October often evokes fear on Wall Street as memories are stirred of crashes in 1929, 1987, the 554-point drop on October 27, 1997, back-to-back massacres in 1978 and 1979, Friday the 13th in 1989 and the 733-point drop on October 15, 2008. During the week ending October 10, 2008, Dow lost 1,874.19 points (18.2%), the worst weekly decline in our database going back to 1901, in point and percentage terms. The term “Octoberphobia” has been used to describe the phenomenon ...

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So “Sell in May” Didn’t Work This Year?

Not so fast. The answer is: We don’t know yet, the Worst Six Months (WSM) are not over yet. People forget that Sell in May is NOT the whole seasonality. Our Best and Worst Months Tactical Switching Strategies are based on the Dow’s and S&P’s Best Six Months (BSM) from November through April and the Worst Six Months from May through October, and NASDAQ’s Best Eight Months (B8M) from November through June and the Worst Four Months (W4M) from July ...

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