Market At A Glance

September 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. September is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 month of the year by average performance. Average declines range from –0.5% to –0.7%. Midterm-year Septembers have been mixed notwithstanding a modest improvement in rank. DJIA has declined in 11 of the last 18 midterm-year Septembers. End-of-quarter window dressing and rebalancing has contributed to some nasty, late-September selloffs.

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July 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. July has been the strongest month of the third quarter. Midterm-year Julys have a mixed record ranking #3 for DJIA and #5 S&P 500, but for NASDAQ and Russell 2000 July is the worst month in midterm years. NASDAQ’s seasonal midyear rally ends on or around July 14. Early July gains tend to fizzle after mid-month. July is the first ...

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June 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. June is the last month of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months.” In all years since 1950, June ranks #11 for DJIA and #9 for S&P 500, but in midterm years like this year, June is the worst month for DJIA and S&P 500 and second worst for NASDAQ. Average losses in midterm-year Junes range from 1.4% by NASDAQ to 1.8% for ...

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May 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. Stock Trader’s Almanac Seasonal MACD Sell Signal for DJIA and S&P 500 triggered April 7. May is the first month of DJIA & S&P 500 “Worst Six Months,” but NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” lasts through June. Average May gains; DJIA –0.01%, S&P 500 500 0.2% (since 1950), NASDAQ 1.0% (since 1971). In past midterm years average performance has been negative. ...

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April 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. April is the #1 DJIA and S&P 500 month of the year since 1950. Third best month for NASDAQ (since 1971) and Russell 2000 (since1979). Average gain in all years ranges from 1.7% by S&P 500 to 2.0% by DJIA. DJIA has been up 16 straight Aprils, 2006 – 2021. Midterm year performance has been softer with average performance sliding ...

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March 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. March is the fifth month of the Best Six/Eight Months for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Normally a solid month, March has historically been even stronger in midterm years ranking #4 for DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950 and #3 for NASDAQ since 1971. Average gains in midterm Marchs range from 1% from DJIA to an impressive 2.7% from Russell ...

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February 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Neutral. February is part of the “Best Six Months,” but it is historically the poorest performing month of the six. February ranks #8 for DJIA, #11 S&P 500 and #10 for NASDAQ. Russell 2000 tends to outperform in February most likely due to carry over of the January Effect. Midterm Februarys have historically been better, but still only mid-pack for DJIA ...

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January 2022 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. January is the fifth best month for DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950. #1 NASDAQ month since 1971. However, since 2000, January has been notably weaker and in Midterm years average performance for DJIA and S&P 500 turns negative. Santa Claus Rally ends on January 4, First Five Days concludes on January 7 and lastly the January Barometer at month’s ...

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December 2021 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. December is the #3 month for DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ. It is also the second month of the “Best Months” and best three consecutive month span. Performance is modestly softer in post-election years. Santa Claus Rally begins on the open on December 27 and runs until the close on the second trading day in January.

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