Market At A Glance

August 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. August is the worst month of the year since 1988. Average losses over the last 30 years range from 0.3% by NASDAQ to 1.2% by DJIA. In midterm years since 1950, Augusts’ rankings improve slightly: #8 DJIA, #9 S&P 500, #11 NASDAQ (since 1974). Average losses range from 0.4% for S&P 500 to 1.8% for NASDAQ. DJIA suffered double-digit losses in ...

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July 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. July historically is the best performing month of the third quarter however, the mostly negative results in August and September make the comparison easy. July begins NASDAQ’s worst four months and is the third weakest performing NASDAQ month since 1971, posting a 0.4% average gain. Midterm-year July rankings are something of a mixed bag, ranking #5 for DJIA and #6 ...

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May 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bearish. May officially marks the beginning of the “Worst Six Months” for the DJIA and S&P. To wit: “Sell in May and go away.” May has been a tricky month over the years, a well-deserved reputation following the May 6, 2010 “flash crash” and the old “May/June disaster area” from 1965 to 1984. Since 1950, midterm-year Mays rank poorly, #9 DJIA ...

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March 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. April is the best DJIA month since 1950, third best for S&P and fourth best for NASDAQ (since 1971). However, typical midterm-election year woes have historically tempered April’s performance. April is also the last month of the “Best Six Months.”

Psychological:

Disbelief. For ...

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February 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. Even though February’s long-term record has been spotty, DJIA has advanced for eight straight February’s while S&P 500 have been up in seven of the last eight. In midterm years, February’s performance has been above average, DJIA and NASDAQ +1.0%, S&P 500 +0.7%. However, February’s following big January’s (+4% or more) have declined or finished with a less than 1% ...

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January 2018 Market at a Glance

Seasonal:

Bullish. January is the third month of the Best Six/Eight, but it is the last of the Best Consecutive Three month span. January is the top month for NASDAQ (since 1971) averaging 2.5%, but it has slipped to sixth for DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950. Midterm January’s have a troublesome record with average losses for DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell ...

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