Santa Claus Rally

Almanac Update January 2020: Not as Strong in Election Years

January has quite a reputation on Wall Street as an influx of cash from yearend bonuses and annual allocations typically propels stocks higher. January ranks #1 for NASDAQ (since 1971), but fifth on the S&P 500 and sixth for DJIA since 1950. It is the end of the best three-month span and holds a full docket of indicators and seasonalities.

DJIA and S&P rankings did slip from 2000 to 2016 as both indices suffered losses in ten of those seventeen ...

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3
JAN
2020

0

Almanac Update

DJIA, election, First Five Days, January, January Barometer, January Effect, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally

Almanac Update December 2019: If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall

December is now the number two S&P 500 month and the third best month on the Dow Jones Industrials since 1950, averaging gains of 1.5% on each index. It’s the third best month for NASDAQ since 1971. Last year DJIA suffered its worst December performance since 1931 and its fourth worst December going all the way back to 1901. However, the market rarely falls precipitously in December and a repeat of last year is not that likely. When it does ...

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25
NOV
2019

0

Almanac Update

December, DJIA, January Effect, NASDAQ, options expiration, pre-election year, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally, small caps

Market Outlook December 2019: Santa Claus Rally & Yearend Highs

The beat rolls on. In the face of ongoing geopolitical and U.S. political volatility, machinations and all the noise, equity markets continue to march higher. While economic growth has slowed underlying strength remains evident. Market internals still have room for improvement with the Advance/Decline positive but not on the same trajectory as the indices and a dearth of new 52-week highs.

If election-cycle politics come into play, we will either get a deal in principle before the December 15 date when new tariffs are supposed to kick in ...

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25
NOV
2019

0

Monthly Outlook

2020 election, big gains, DJIA, NASDAQ, New Highs, Pre-election, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally, Stock Traders Almanac, Yearend

January Barometer: Trifecta Up 3-For-3 Bullish for 2019

S&P 500 finished the month strong with a 7.9% gain. This is the best S&P January since 1987. This is also the third January Trifecta in a row. Last year the S&P 500 crumbled in the fourth quarter under the weight of triple threats from a hawkish and confusing Fed, a newly divided Congress and the U.S. trade battle with China, finishing in the red. 2017’s Trifecta was followed by a full-year gain of 19.4%, including a February-December gain of ...

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6
FEB
2019

0

Seasonal Research

$^GSPC, $SPY, 4-year cycle, First Five Days, January Barometer, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally

Market Outlook January 2019 & Annual Forecast: Santa on Notice from Dueling Grinches – Low Nears – Bear Lurks

Fed Chairman Powell and President Trump have been competing for who can freak the market out most. Our contention for months has been that the Fed is the biggest risk to the market and economy and that surely seems to have come home to roost the past few months and this week.

Last month in our “Market at a Glance” we said that, “After nearly a decade at zero, a brief pause to evaluate the impact of recent hikes does not ...

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3
JAN
2019

0

Monthly Outlook

2019 Forecast, DJIA, Fed, First Five Days, January, January Barometer, NASDAQ, pre-election year, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally

Almanac Update January 2019: Top Month for Stocks in Pre-Election Years

January has quite a legendary reputation on Wall Street as an influx of cash from yearend bonuses and annual allocations typically propels stocks higher. January ranks #1 for NASDAQ (since 1971), but sixth on the S&P 500 and DJIA since 1950. It is the end of the best three-month span and holds a full docket of indicators and seasonalities.

DJIA and S&P rankings did slip from 2000 to 2018 as both indices suffered losses in ten of those nineteen Januarys with ...

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3
JAN
2019

0

Almanac Update

$^GSPC, $^IXIC, $^RUT, $DIA, $IWM, $QQQ, $SPY, 4-year cycle, DJIA, First Five Days, January, January Barometer, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally, Seasonal

Market Outlook December 2018: Season of the Rally

It is the season for rallies, but not the Santa Claus Rally quite yet. As I reiterated once again earlier this week on my blog, the Santa Claus Rally is not any seasonal rally in the fourth quarter of the year or around yearend, it is the usual short, sweet, respectable rally Santa brings to Wall Street within the last five days of the year and the first two in January.

The Santa Claus Rally was discovered and named by ...

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4
DEC
2018

0

Monthly Outlook

$^GSPC, $^IXIC, $^RUT, $DIA, $IWM, $QQQ, $SPY, DJIA, First Five Days, Free Lunch, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally

Almanac Update December 2018: Top Month Fueled by Holiday Cheer

December is the number one S&P 500 month and the second-best month on the Dow Jones Industrials since 1950, averaging gains of 1.6% and 1.7% respectively. It’s also the second best for NASDAQ (1971). Rarely does the market fall precipitously in December. When it does it is usually a turning point in the market—near a top or bottom. If the market has experienced fantastic gains leading up to December, stocks can pullback.

Trading in December is holiday inspired and fueled by ...

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4
DEC
2018

0

Almanac Update

$^GSPC, $^IXIC, $DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, DJIA, midterm, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Santa Claus Rally

Posts Tagged 'Santa Claus Rally'